Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.815728 1.896758 1.980226 2.072819 2.172883 2.278009 2.397126
2025-12-21 1.701662 1.816832 1.939945 2.082049 2.242452 2.418987 2.629485
2025-12-28 1.617476 1.758105 1.913133 2.098254 2.315395 2.564734 2.876788
2026-01-04 1.502262 1.654559 1.826349 2.036878 2.291368 2.593773 2.987853
2026-01-11 1.438638 1.604557 1.795900 2.036447 2.336155 2.705098 3.207041
2026-01-18 1.395704 1.575010 1.786131 2.058098 2.407136 2.852331 3.485713
2026-01-25 1.340696 1.527094 1.750252 2.043502 2.429243 2.936365 3.686802
2026-02-01 1.282894 1.472313 1.702188 2.009272 2.421655 2.978053 3.830456
2026-02-08 1.205161 1.389256 1.614472 1.918300 2.331450 2.897837 3.784615
2026-02-15 1.157004 1.341103 1.568584 1.879277 2.308519 2.909140 3.876665
2026-02-22 1.122118 1.308118 1.540354 1.861686 2.313194 2.959125 4.032914
2026-03-01 1.088212 1.274945 1.510242 1.839576 2.309399 2.995230 4.169265
2026-03-08 1.037496 1.221495 1.455445 1.786655 2.266402 2.981263 4.242914
2026-03-15 1.015927 1.205202 1.449258 1.801040 2.323113 3.127491 4.621614
2026-03-22 0.996707 1.191177 1.445406 1.818462 2.385890 3.291007 5.067541
2026-03-29 0.956503 1.147745 1.399642 1.772949 2.348643 3.285342 5.184669
2026-04-05 0.935251 1.128865 1.386719 1.774488 2.384966 3.408767 5.593623
2026-04-12 0.921039 1.118831 1.385442 1.792907 2.449420 3.589295 6.175009
2026-04-19 0.898495 1.096491 1.365724 1.782097 2.464626 3.681355 6.577951
2026-04-26 0.872473 1.068447 1.336702 1.755329 2.450736 3.716346 6.849375
2026-05-03 0.833977 1.022032 1.279798 1.682806 2.354114 3.581163 6.644077
2026-05-10 0.809826 0.995004 1.250080 1.651597 2.327194 3.581925 6.812687
2026-05-17 0.792040 0.976356 1.231846 1.637530 2.329091 3.640577 7.161419